Updated Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Released By CSU Experts

With about four months left in the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, experts are predicting another 12 named storms to form, according to an updated forecast issued Wednesday by Colorado State University.

This is more or less in line with CSU’s forecast at the start of the season, which then called for 17 named storms, nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes.

The updated prediction calls for a total of 16 named storms — including the four that have already formed — eight hurricanes and three major hurricanes Category 3 and higher this season, which kicked off June 1 and ends Nov. 30.

“CSU continues to predict slightly above-normal Atlantic season,” Philip Klotzbach, CSU meteorologist, posted to X, adding, “Relatively warm Atlantic and likely absence of (El Niño) the primary factors.”

“Sea surface temperatures across the eastern and central Atlantic have anomalously warmed over the past few weeks and are now somewhat warmer than normal. Multiple indicators anticipate likely cool (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) neutral conditions during the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season,” according to the updated forecast. “Warm sea surface temperatures and ENSO neutral conditions typically provide a more conducive dynamic and thermodynamic environment for hurricane formation and intensification.”

Despite these factors, there’s a “lower-than-normal confidence” in this year’s outlook, CSU forecasters said, adding, “The primary reason for the uncertainty in the outlook is the high observed Caribbean shear over recent weeks. Typically, high levels of Caribbean shear in June – July are associated with less active hurricane seasons.”

See Also:

• New 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Forecast: Here's What To Expect In FL
• FL Polish Club Spent 3 Months Drying Out Historic Dance Floor After Hurricane Helene
• 5 Major Storms Forecast This Hurricane Season, FL Weather Experts Say
• New Forecast Predicts Up To 5 Major Hurricanes For 2025 Season

The university’s meteorologists have also predicted where in the U.S. a hurricane might hit through the end of the season.

There’s a 48 percent chance that a major hurricane will make landfall along the entire continental U.S. coastline during the remainder of the season, the forecast said.

There’s a 24 percent chance that a major hurricane will hit the U.S. East Coast, including the Florida peninsula, and a 31 percent chance that one will make landfall along the Gulf Coast, from the Florida Panhandle west to Brownsville, Texas.

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