Atmospheric River Storm Expected To Arrive In RP, Cotati Overnight

ROHNERT PARK AND COTATI, CA — Another atmospheric river-driven storm is expected to hit Sonoma County and the Bay Area in what the National Weather Service is calling a "direct threat to life and property."

The expectation of another round of heavy rains prompted the NWS to issue a regionwide flood watch scheduled to go into effect at 10 p.m. Monday and continue through 4 a.m. Wednesday.

Widespread and potentially significant wind impacts are also expected with this storm. With wind gusts of up to 50 mph in the valleys and up to 60-70 mph in higher elevations expected, the agency also issued a high wind warning scheduled to go into effect at 11 p.m. Monday and continue through 5 a.m. Wednesday.

A bulletin issued by the agency Monday morning said that highly saturated soils paired with elevated river and stream levels made more water-related impacts a “sure bet" during the storm which is expected to bring "notable and potentially long-lasting impacts to our area."

The bulk of the rain is expected after 1 a.m. Tuesday.

Rohnert Park and Cotati could see up to 2 inches of rain Monday evening through Wednesday morning, with 1.16 inches expected overnight Monday into Tuesday, and another .66 inches during the day Tuesday.

In addition to flooding, the potential for shallow landslides and debris flows will also increase with travel impacts likely to develop starting Monday night, the weather service said, adding that hazardous travel conditions are likely to exist into at least Wednesday and potentially beyond for some areas.

"Postpone travel if possible and remember to NEVER drive through flooded roadways," NWS said. "Turn around, don't drown!"

NWS said that while plenty could be written about the incoming atmospheric river from a meteorological perspective, "brevity" was probably for the best considering the expected impacts.

"This is shaping up to be a significant system with the potential for wide-reaching and long-lasting impacts," NWS said. "Now is the time to prepare. Get gas for generators, clean storm drains and gutters, tie down or move loose objects inside. Make sure you have extra supplies, food, and necessary medications in case roads are closed or power outages last for several days. Pack a 'go bag' to help evacuate quickly if you live in a flood-prone location. Avoid unnecessary travel and stay safe!"

A drying trend on Wednesday into Thursday should allow a brief window for storm cleanup. Rain chances look to return by Friday into the weekend.

Here is the National Weather Service's current seven-day forecast for Rohnert Park and Cotati:

Monday Afternoon
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 57. South southwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Monday Night
Rain. Low around 51. South southeast wind 10 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

Tuesday
Rain before 11am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. High near 59. Breezy, with a south wind 21 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

Tuesday Night
A 50 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 38. Breezy, with a south southwest wind 15 to 24 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 37 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 61. Northwest wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 36.

Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.

Thursday Night
A slight chance of rain after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40.

Friday
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58.

Friday Night
A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44.

Saturday
A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 60.

Saturday Night
Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42.

Sunday
A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 60.