Synoptic Weather

NHC:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Current Tropical Activity:

South Atlantic:

Erin about 300 miles east of Jacksonville; Winds; 100 mph, movement NNW 13 mph., brushes east of the Outer Banks, NC. and Delmarva.

Disturbance #1 near the Leeward Islands, 60% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 days
Disturbance #2 southwest of Cabo Verde Islands 40% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 days

East Pacific:

None

Central Pacific:

None

NMC Sfc Map:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc-zoom.php?type=bw
Weak low pressure over western New York with a warm/stationary frontal system stretching southward through the Appalachians then north to Virginia. Cold front extending from western New York to Kansas.

Coldest air: Melville Island, Canada; 34F.

Radar:
https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOm51bGwsImNlbnRlciI6Wy05MS44OTksMzkuMDc0XSwibG9jYXRpb24iOm51bGwsInpvb20iOjQuNDQ0NDQ0NDE1MDY4MzM4fSwiYW5pbWF0aW5nIjpmYWxzZSwiYmFzZSI6InN0YW5kYXJkIiwiYXJ0Y2MiOmZhbHNlLCJjb3VudHkiOmZhbHNlLCJjd2EiOmZhbHNlLCJyZmMiOmZhbHNlLCJzdGF0ZSI6ZmFsc2UsIm1lbnUiOnRydWUsInNob3J0RnVzZWRPbmx5IjpmYWxzZSwib3BhY2l0eSI6eyJhbGVydHMiOjAuOCwibG9jYWwiOjAuNiwibG9jYWxTdGF0aW9ucyI6MC44LCJuYXRpb25hbCI6MC42fX0%3D

Rain and showers over the Northeast with tropical activity east of the Carolinas. Narrow band of showers/thunderstorms over north Texas.

GFS:
https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model%20Guidance&model=GFS&area=NAMER&ps=area#
Low pressure over New York slides eastward and dissolves mid week. Through the weekend high pressure dominates Northeast weather pusing Erin out to sea. Early next week a cold front approaches delivering added moisture to New York and New England.

National Drought Map: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu
National Snow Cover Map: https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/map.html