Synoptic Weather

NHC:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Current Tropical Activity:

South Atlantic:
Erin about 150 miles east of Cape Hatteras; Winds; 105 mph, movement NNE 17 mph., recurves out to sea

Disturbance #1 near the Leeward Islands, 70% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 days
Disturbance #2 eastern tropical Atlantic 40% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 days

East Pacific:
Disturbance #1 southwest of Mexico, 30% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 days

Central Pacific:

None

NMC Sfc Map:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc-zoom.php?type=bw
Combination stationary/cold front from the South Jersey Shore to East Texas. Several frontal systems over the Northern Rockies.

Coldest air: Prince Patrick Island, Canada; 34F.

Radar:
https://radar.weather.gov/?settings=v1_eyJhZ2VuZGEiOnsiaWQiOm51bGwsImNlbnRlciI6Wy05MS44OTksMzkuMDc0XSwibG9jYXRpb24iOm51bGwsInpvb20iOjQuNDQ0NDQ0NDE1MDY4MzM4fSwiYW5pbWF0aW5nIjpmYWxzZSwiYmFzZSI6InN0YW5kYXJkIiwiYXJ0Y2MiOmZhbHNlLCJjb3VudHkiOmZhbHNlLCJjd2EiOmZhbHNlLCJyZmMiOmZhbHNlLCJzdGF0ZSI6ZmFsc2UsIm1lbnUiOnRydWUsInNob3J0RnVzZWRPbmx5IjpmYWxzZSwib3BhY2l0eSI6eyJhbGVydHMiOjAuOCwibG9jYWwiOjAuNiwibG9jYWxTdGF0aW9ucyI6MC44LCJuYXRpb25hbCI6MC42fX0%3D

Tropical activity east of the Outer Banks. Showers and thunderstorms along the Minnesota/Canadian border.

GFS:
https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model%20Guidance&model=GFS&area=NAMER&ps=area#
High pressure anchored over the Northeast through the weekend shields New York and New England from Erin. Frontal system approaches the Northeast with added moisture at the end of the weekend.

National Drought Map: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu
National Snow Cover Map: https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/map.html