Weather
How Long Will FL’s Warm Fall Last? See The November Outlook
If you're looking forward to the cooler air that usually arrives in November, you may have to get out of Florida to find it.
FLORIDA — If you’re looking forward to the cooler air that historically arrives in November, you may have to get out of Florida and head north to find it until an expected La Niña climate pattern ushers in colder weather more typical of winter.
In an updated November outlook Wednesday from The Weather Channel and Atmospheric G2, November temperatures in Florida are expected to be slightly above normal. Daytime temperatures this week have been in the mid- to upper-80s in the Tampa region.
AccuWeather says highs normally reach the low to mid-80s early in November, and drop to the mid-70s by the end of the month.
Find out what's happening in Tampafor free with the latest updates from Patch.
October daytime temperatures in Tampa Bay have mostly in the mid-80s after starting in the low 90s, according to data from The Weather Channel.
Nationally, fall temperatures have been warmer than the forecasters originally expected. The hottest November temperatures are expected in the nation’s midsection, from Minnesota to Texas and western Montana to upstate New York.
Find out what's happening in Tampafor free with the latest updates from Patch.
The only places in the country expected to have near-normal November temperatures are Southern California and other parts of the desert Southwest. Predictions for unseasonably warm temperatures lingering into December come amid mounting concern that climate change is making summers hotter and extending the warm weather well into fall.
Earlier this fall, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said they’re confident a La Niña to develop yet this winter, but doubt it will be a strong pattern associated with consistent cold weather and heavy snowfall or other precipitation.
El Niño and La Niña are opposite phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, a natural climate pattern that causes predictable changes in the tropical Pacific Ocean. They’re not the only factors in weather, but El Niño generally favors warmer, drier weather, while the opposite is true with a La Niña. Either can have an outsized effect during the winter months.
Forecasters originally expected a La Niña to develop late last winter, which turned out to be the warmest on record in the continental U.S. and worldwide.
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