Will MA Have A White Christmas? Here’s What The Old Farmer's Almanac Predicts

MASSACHUSETTS — Songs, poems, children's stories and holiday movies relive the joy of a white Christmas, but how likely is it that Bay Staters will wake up to a snow-covered landscape on Christmas morning?

"While we all know that nature can be unpredictable, the odds are that the snow will fall mainly in the Central region of the U.S.," the almanac's website reads. "According to The 2026 Old Farmer's Almanac, most of the United States will be seeing a milder, gentler winter than average."

The Old Farmer’s Almanac said in a newly released forecast that a White Christmas is based on which part of the state you live.

As is often the case when it comes to snowfall, coastal locations like Greater Boston, the North Shore, South Shore, Cape and the Islands are not likely to see snow on the ground at first light on Christmas morning.

However, inland locations — mostly north and west of Route 495, such as Worcester and the upper Merrimack Valley — are much more likely to experience a white Christmas.

Boston has about a 23 percent chance of a white Christmas annually — defined as having 1 inch or more of snow on the ground as of 7 a.m. The last white Christmas technically in Boston was 2009, though there have been other years when snow has developed over the course of the day even if the ground was clear at sunrise.

That includes 2017, when there was about 3 inches of snow on Christmas Day.

The chances are much higher in Worcester County, where the city of Worcester has about a 40 percent chance of a white Christmas, and areas of northern Worcester County are closer to 50 percent.

Dreams of a white Christmas are historically just wishful thinking in some parts of the country, including the Deep South, the Southeast, the Desert Southwest and Hawaii. Here’s a look at what could be in store for the rest of the country:

• Northeast: A White Christmas.
• Atlantic Corridor: Not a White Christmas
• Appalachians: Chance of a White Christmas
• Southeast: Not a White Christmas
• Florida: Not a White Christmas
• Lower Lakes: A White Christmas
• Ohio Valley: Chance of a White Christmas in the east; not a White Christmas in the west
• Deep South: Not a White Christmas
• Upper Midwest: Chance of a White Christmas
• Heartland: Not a White Christmas
• Texas–Oklahoma: Not a White Christmas
• High Plains: Chance of a White Christmas
• Intermountain: Chance of a White Christmas in the east; not a White Christmas in the west
• Desert Southwest: Not a White Christmas
• Pacific Northwest: Not a White Christmas
• Pacific Southwest: Not a White Christmas.
• Alaska: A White Christmas.
• Hawaii: Not a White Christmas