Minnesota Analysts Weigh In On Accuracy Of Polls With Nearly A Week Left Until Election Day

By Esme Murphy, CBS Minnesota

October 28, 2024 / 7:24 AM CDT

MINNEAPOLIS — With just over a week to go until the presidential election, most polls say the race is a tie. But how accurate are the polls?

The polls have missed badly before — most infamously in 2016 when almost every poll had Hillary Clinton beating former President Donald Trump. Pollsters dramatically failed to accurately capture Trump's support and he won that election.

In 2020, they got the winner right — but if you look carefully, they still underestimated the eventual Trump vote.

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