New Hampshire Turnout Prediction For 2024 Presidential Election? 824K

CONCORD, NH — New Hampshire’s secretary of state predicts the highest voter turnout ever in the Granite State for the 2024 general election.

Secretary of State David Scanlan believes 824,000 voters in the state will cast ballots on Nov. 5. Along with the record voter turnout, he also said there would be many Election Day registrations.

Scanlan said many “inactive” voters — voters who have not cast ballots in several election cycles, were purged from the rolls in 2021.

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Many of those voters, he said, were expected to re-register on Election Day — so voters and poll workers should expect lines when the polls open and steady voting throughout the day.

Also Read

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Voters can visit the Secretary of State’s Voter Information Lookup site at app.sos.nh.gov to find their polling location and hours.

After this story was published, the Secretary of State’s Office sent new party registration numbers, updated as of Oct. 29.

The data shows the state has around 902,000 registered voters, up from 895,387 registered voters, published on Sept. 30.

Based on that number, Scanlan calls for a 91 percent voter turnout on Nov. 5 — an unprecedented number. That percentage will shrink when new same-day registrations are counted after the election.

In 2020, there were 1.12 million registered voters, and another 75,000 registered on Election Day, bringing the total number of registered voters to more than 1.19 million. Slightly less than 815,000 voters cast ballots, meaning the turnout was around 68 percent (although state records show 72.2 percent turnout, the highest since 1996).

In 2016, there were a little more than 1 million registered voters and 83,000 registering on Election Day. Nearly 756,000 voters cast ballots, or around 69 percent.

View the historical turnout for New Hampshire here.

In the latest registration data, “undeclared” voters made up the most in the state.

There were 331,519 “undeclared” voters registered, about the same number of voters registered in June and 107,000 voters since November 2020. Republicans made up the second-largest registered voters at slightly more than 304,000. That is up by about 36,000 since December 2023 but down 29,000 since November 2020. Registered Democrats made up 266,000. That is up 10,000 since June but down 82,000 since November 2020.

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