New Poll Shows Shift In NJ Gubernatorial Race As Election Day Looms

Early voting has opened and the contest between Democrat Mikie Sherrill and Republican Jack Ciattarelli is underway. A new poll may give a preview for how it could end.

According to A2 Insights' latest poll, Sherrill is up five points ahead of Ciattarelli.

Of the 812 likely voters surveyed, 51.4 percent favored Sherrill over the 46.5 percent for Ciattarelli.

"Respondents were recruited through an online, opt-in panel conducted in English. Results were weighted to be representative of New Jersey’s active voter population based on age (determined by targeted recruitment), sex, race, education, partisan affiliation, and recalled 2024 presidential vote," according to A2 Insights.

Below is a breakdown of the poll's results:

A2 Insights describes itself as a nonpartisan public opinion polling firm based in Ann Arbor, Michigan and led by Andrew Kim, an undergraduate at the University of Michigan studying political science.

Although Sherrill remains ahead, her lead is narrowing.

A previous poll by A2 Insights from Augustshowed Sherrill was ahead 5.9 percent. She is down almost one percent between the two polls.

While the margin of lead varies, Sherrill has remained steadily ahead of Ciattarelli.

Last week, according to Newsweek, citing a poll by KAConsulting, Sherrill was ahead with 47 percent of voters backing her over Ciattarelli with 44 percent.

The following week, a Quinnipiac University New Jersey poll showed Sherrill with 50 percent of voters' support over Cittarelli's 44 percent.

At the beginning of October, Fox News released its own poll of New Jersey voters that found Sherrill was ahead of Ciattarelli. Another poll released by Quantus Insights also showed Sherill with a slight lead over Ciattarelli, 48.1 percent to 45.8 percent, among likely voters.

A previous Quinnipiac poll on Sept. 17 also showed Sherill receiving 49 percent of support while Cittarelli received 41 percent of support.

Sherrill, a former U.S. Navy helicopter pilot currently serving as a congress member, is running for governor as a Democrat in New Jersey. She is facing a challenge from Ciattarelli, a former state assemblyman who has gotten an endorsement from President Donald Trump.

See Related:

• Sherrill, Ciattarelli: Here’s Why I Should Be NJ Governor (In 500 Words)
• 5 Takeaways From First New Jersey Governor Debate