Heavy Rain, Chilly Temps: Hudson Valley Weekend

HUDSON VALLEY, NY — A close-to-home tropical threat could soak the region this weekend, and the national Weather Prediction Center has put the Hudson Valley at a marginal risk of excessive rainfall.

No matter what happens, it's going to be cold. Temperatures won't rise out of the low 60s on Saturday.

A tropical depression or full-fledged tropical storm could form along the East Coast starting Friday and affect our region Saturday and Sunday, said forecasters with the National Weather Service and AccuWeather.

The culprits are a stalled front along the coast with a low-pressure area, AccuWeather explained.

Whether or not the low becomes an organized tropical system, it will bring impacts, AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Tyler Roys said. "The storm is likely to bring gusty winds and rounds of heavy rain to much of the East Coast," he said.

The speed with which the storm moves to the northeast will determine how long the rainy weather will last, Roys explained.

"I would generally anticipate the potential for 1"-2" of rainfall over the weekend, possibly more," Bruce Furbeck of First Due Weather said on Facebook, noting the NWS had already put the region at "marginal risk"of excessive rainfall.

Furbeck said Tuesday his "compound" in Orange County had already recorded 9 inches of rain so far for September.

According to ClimateData.org, the average rainfall for September in the Hudson Valley is 4.1 inches.

Here's the five-day forecast from the NWS based on White Plains:

• Wednesday night - Clear, with a low around 52. North wind 5 to 7 mph.
• Thursday - Sunny, with a high near 72. North wind around 7 mph.
• Thursday Night - Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Light north wind.
• Friday - Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. East wind 5 to 9 mph.
• Friday Night - A 40 percent chance of rain after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. East wind around 11 mph.
• Saturday - Rain likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
• Saturday Night - Rain likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
• Sunday - A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68.
• Sunday Night - A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57.