Weather

Tropical Storm Erin Approaches: See Latest VA Impacts

Tropical Storm Erin is forecast to become a major hurricane soon and could pose serious threats to Virginia's coastal areas.

Dangerous rip currents, large waves and rough seas are likely along Virginia's coast and the Eastern Seaboard next week as Tropical Storm Erin, which is forecast to become a major hurricane soon, continues to move closer to the United States.

Tropical Storm Erin will likely become a major hurricane before and while passing just to the north of the Leeward Islands in the northeastern Caribbean late this week and this weekend, according to the latest AccuWeather forecast.

How quickly Erin turns to the north will determine how close the storm will move to the United States.

Find out what's happening in Fredericksburgfor free with the latest updates from Patch.

"Interests along the East Coast of the United States, the Bahamas and in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Erin, as a shift in the track could bring direct impacts to these areas," AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva said.

According to AccuWeather, Erin's most likely track will be a few hundred miles off the U.S. coast.

Find out what's happening in Fredericksburgfor free with the latest updates from Patch.

However, forecasters said it's possible that a high-pressure system paired with a cold front and a dip in the jet stream over the eastern United States could push Erin significantly farther to the west.

If that happens, areas of the East Coast that extend into the ocean could see a greater risk of strong winds, rain and coastal flooding.

Even if a direct hit does not occur in the United States, dangerous seas, rough surf conditions and rip currents will pose serious threats to Maryland's coastal areas.

“Families heading to U.S. Atlantic beaches for a late-summer vacation next week need to be extremely cautious when venturing into the surf," DaSilva warned. "More than 50 people have lost their lives to rip currents and rough surf at beaches across the country so far this year, without any major hurricane nearby.”

Last weekend, Virginia Beach lifeguards pulled 180 people from the ocean after they were caught in rip currents caused by Tropical Storm Dexter, which shifted east into the Atlantic Ocean, impacting Hampton Roads with dangerous surf conditions.

Gary Felch, deputy chief of the Virginia Beach Lifesaving Service, told 13News Now it was the most water rescues made in a single weekend this summer.

"Well, the Fourth of July, the crowds were bigger and we had more lost kids and medical emergencies... but as far as water rescues, we did not have as many," Felch told the station.

The Atlantic hurricane season is ramping up for the year. According to AccuWeather, the average date for the first hurricane is Aug. 11. Two other systems are currently forming in the Atlantic, though they aren't expected to intensify.

As tropical activity heats up this month, AccuWeather hurricane experts last week predicted that three to five named storms could form in the remaining three weeks of August.


With wave activity increasing off the coast of Africa, Atlantic Ocean conditions are more conducive for tropical development, meteorologists said.

Meanwhile, the updated National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration outlook says “atmospheric and oceanic conditions continue to favor an above-normal season,” which is in line with its prediction first issued in May.

NOAA forecasters now expect 13 to 18 named storms this season, of which five to nine storms could become hurricanes and two to five of those could be major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher, which pack sustained winds between 111 and 129 mph.

August is historically the most active part of the Atlantic hurricane season, experts said, with peak activity around Sept. 10 before storms dwindle in October.

RELATED:

Get more local news delivered straight to your inbox. Sign up for free Patch newsletters and alerts.