2022 Fall Forecast: See What’s In Store For Wisconsin

WISCONSIN — It may be hard to fathom, but as we get through the dog days of summer, meteorological autumn is just about a month away. Ahead of the season of hoodies and pumpkins, forecasters are already releasing their predictions for Wisconsin.

Autumn doesn't technically begin until the Sept. 22 equinox, but meteorological autumn is Sept 1. through Nov. 30. Forecasters tend to use consistent dates each year to compare seasons to eachother.

So is Wisconsin in for a refreshingly cool autumn, packed with trips to the apple orchard and bonfires?

Well, the orchard and bonfire part is up to you. But, as Accuweather predicted in its 2022 fall forecast, we might be in for a few extra weeks of unseasonable warmth. But as that summer warmth fades and our forests turn into a sea of warm colors, we'll be getting some chilly air.

Accuweather predicts the first frost will arrive nearly two weeks early this year in our region, but the forecaster said the outlook doesn't pose a serious threat to agriculture.

To determine its fall forecast, AccuWeather forecasters used data from computer models while also analyzing weather patterns around the globe and past years.

After combining these factors, the AccuWeather team condensed its seasonal outlook into one word: warm.

“With pretty good confidence this year, I think it's a mild fall setting up overall for the U.S.,” AccuWeather forecaster Paul Pastelok said.

Credit: AccuWeather

Here’s what other parts of the country could expect:

• For the third consecutive year, La Niña will supercharge the Atlantic hurricane season, which will lead to a higher threat of tropical systems making landfall this autumn.

• Drought conditions are expected to ease across the Northeast, Midwest and Southeast. However, abnormally dry conditions will remain throughout most of the central United States in places like Texas, eastern New Mexico and western Kansas.

• Widespread and long-term drought is expected to fuel another active wildfire season in the West. The worst of the fires are expected to develop in areas different than 2021.