Accumulating Snow Emerges In Forecast: Odds Of How Much To Expect Released

CONNECTICUT — Odds are increasing that Connecticut will see another round of wintry weather this weekend.

"Sunday, as (a) storm system moves in… initially, we’re expecting rain," said WFSB 3 TV chief Meteorologist Mark Dixon with Scot Haney. "How an area of low pressure tracks relative to CT will dictate precipitation type. Based on current trends, we’re forecasting a switch to a mix Sunday evening/night before going over to snow before ending early Monday. Because of this, we’ve issued a First Alert for Sunday night into early morning, as there could be an impact to travel across the state. There is a lot of uncertainty, so as new data comes in, we’ll of course provide updates on timing and impacts."

The National Weather Service said the entire state has a chance of seeing three inches or more of snow Sunday night into Monday, but the highest odds currently are in Litchfield, Hartford, Tolland, and Windham counties along with inland sections of Fairfield and New Haven counties.

The odds of seeing three inches or more of snow in most sections of southern Connecticut are lower than northern Connecticut, according to the weather service.

"We're in for a cool down early next week with a shot at accumulating snow, then another warmup seems likely," the weather service said. "How much snow? It's too soon to tell exactly how much snow will fall Sunday night into Monday, but here are the odds of seeing more than 3 inches of snow. For many, it's a 50/50 shot...The uncertainty is due to differences in storm track. A track closer to New England would shift the higher accumulations farther north, while a more offshore track would favor Connecticut, Rhode Island, and southeast Massachusetts. Stay tuned for updates!"

image via the National Weather Service

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More rain for now

The rain this morning should end by midday Thursday, but fog will persist, WFSB 3 TV meteorologists said.

"We’ll get a midday break from rain. Despite abundant cloud cover, temps peak in the upper 40s and lower 50s," Dixon and Haney wrote. "Then, more rain moves in late in the day. Rain this evening continues into the early morning hours of tomorrow. Thereafter, we end the week cloudy with highs in the 40s."

"Between now and the end of the week, we could pick up around 1″ of rain. This is not what we need given how much rain we’ve had in recent weeks and months, but it will occur over a span of few days, so flooding won’t be an issue," Dixon and Haney wrote. (Read/watch more at WFSB 3 TV).

Here are the forecast details for southern Connecticut via the National Weather Service:

Today: A 50 percent chance of rain, mainly before 1pm. Areas of fog before 1pm, then areas of fog after 4pm. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 51. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm.

Tonight: Rain, mainly after 1am. Areas of fog. Low around 38. Northeast wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Friday: Rain likely, mainly before 10am. Areas of fog before 1pm. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 43. Northeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46. North wind 5 to 7 mph.

Sunday: Rain. High near 39. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Sunday Night: Rain likely before 1am, then a chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Monday: A 30 percent chance of snow before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 30. Blustery.

Here are the forecast details for northern Connecticut via the National Weather Service:

Today: Patchy fog. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 52. South wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable.

Tonight: Rain, mainly after 1am. Low around 36. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Friday: Rain, mainly before noon. High near 42. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43. North wind around 6 mph.

Sunday: Rain likely, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 40. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Sunday Night: Rain likely, possibly mixed with snow before 3am, then a chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 22. Northeast wind 14 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Monday: A chance of snow before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29. Blustery, with a north wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.