Here's How Long It's Been Since We Had A White Christmas In MA

MASSACHUETTS — The last time Boston had at least an inch of snow on the ground on Christmas Day was in 2009 when four inches of snow was recorded at Logan Airport, according to a report looking at the historical odds of a white Christmas.

Boston has had a white Christmas 27 times since 1892, according to the report earlier this month from The Weather Channel.

It's still early for a more precise Christmas Day weather forecast, but in the days leading up to the holiday, the National Weather Service forecasts cold and dry weather ahead with a slim chance that any traces of snow late this week will make it to Christmas morning.

The Weather Channel report is based on data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, including data on the probability of a white Christmas. NOAA's projection is based on three-decade averages in snow accumulation, temperatures and other climatological data. Historically, Boston has a 23 percent chance of a white Christmas, though chances are higher in Worcester and parts farther north and west of the city.

AccuWeather said in a Christmas forecast released Tuesday that more people will see a white Christmas this year than last, especially in the Rockies and Great Lakes states that have seen lake effect snow this season, but most won't see the snow pile up.

The chance of snow late Wednesday night is well north in Worcester County and through the Berkshires. There is also a shot of snow possibility as an arctic front passes through New England on Friday.

Some areas of the interior Northeast and Appalachians have received snow over the past week, and it could still be on the ground Christmas Day if cold weather sticks around.

"The cold sticks with us at the start of Christmas week, but then it warms up as we head towards the middle of the week on Christmas," Pastelok said in the forecast discussion.

"A stormy pattern setting up over the Pacific Northwest will also deliver the gift of a white Christmas to the areas near the mountains that typically have snow on the ground for the holidays," he said. "It's some of these lower spots, (such as) interior Washington, maybe not much (snow) there because temperatures are not really that cold,” Pastelok added.

On average, only about 38 percent of the Lower 48 states experience snow on the ground on Christmas Day, according to NOAA data. Last year, just 18 percent of these states had a white Christmas, marking the lowest percentage since record-keeping began in 2003. In contrast, in 2022, approximately 53 percent of the continental U.S. enjoyed a white Christmas, the highest percentage since 2009.