How Much More Money NYC Residents Need Amid 40-Year Inflation

NEW YORK, NY — Rising inflation that has cost New Yorkers hundreds more each month will get worse before it gets better, according to economists.

Nationwide inflation hit a new, 40-year high in March, jumping 8.5 percent over the previous 12 months, according to a Labor Department data released on Tuesday.

The spike comes after a steady rise in inflation the past several months due to a bottlenecked supply chain, increased consumer demand and volatility in global food and energy markets worsened by Russia’s war in Ukraine, among other reasons, The Associated Press reported.

Ryan Sweet, a senior economist with Moody Analytics, told CNBC in March that inflation costing Americans $296 more a month was “going to get worse before it gets better.”

In fact, Americans haven’t managed such high inflation since 1981, and the 1.2 percent increase in the consumer price index from February to March was the biggest month-to-month jump since 2005.

And with gas prices that have increased 48 percent over the past year and food costs up 10 percent, budgeting for inflation becomes evermore important.

Estimates vary on how much extra money New York residents should build into their household budgets through the end of the year. Bloomberg News did the math, saying households should plan to spend $5,200 more this year, or $433 a month, for the same “consumption basket.”

In the New York City area specifically, prices jumped 1.3 percent in March, following a 0.3-percent increase in February, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report for New York, Newark and Jersey City.

Chief Regional Economist Martin Kohli said that March increase—the largest in 17 years—was driven by higher prices for energy.

Year over year, the New York City area saw a 6.1 percent jump, the highest since February 1991, the report shows.

Not all populations feel the same pain at the checkout counter and gas pump, or when they’re making out their rent checks.

Analyses by the Penn Wharton Budget Model and Wells Fargo showed low- and middle-income U.S. households are hurt the most by inflation. The Wells Fargo study, cited by CNBC, showed the middle class is being hit the most; and within that group, Hispanics and Latinos have the steepest jump in living costs.

There’s no way to know exactly how much prices will rise, though the Labor Department’s past consumer price index reports portend continued inflation.

One way to keep track of how much more you’re paying is through a Bureau of Labor Statistics inflation calculator. Say your monthly household budget was $4,982 in March 2021; a year later, you’d need $8,129.09 to pay the same bills.

“This is really harmful for people on fixed incomes,” Carol Ehlers, a human sciences specialist with the Iowa State University Extension and Outreach, said in a news release recommending the inflation calculator as an effective budget-building tool.

“Higher prices mean families need to be more strategic about their spending and find ways to stretch their income. Budgeting for periods of higher inflation challenges families to rethink the way they spend and determine which expenses they potentially can reduce or eliminate,” Ehlers said.

Analysts and others who spoke to CNBC offered some tips on keeping household budgets on track, including combining errands in one trip to save on gas, searching for apps and digital coupon sites, and canceling or renegotiating subscription services.

Also, experts said, it’s important to check the household budget weekly to see what costs are increasing the most and where budgets can be trimmed.