Weather

Potential Hurricane Targets Southeast: See Possible NoVA Impacts

Tropical Storm Helene could become a major hurricane as it approaches the northern U.S. Gulf Coast on Thursday. See the latest VA forecast.

A strengthening tropical storm that forecasters believe could turn into a hurricane could bring some rain and possible coastal flooding to parts of Virginia later this week, according to the latest data.
A strengthening tropical storm that forecasters believe could turn into a hurricane could bring some rain and possible coastal flooding to parts of Virginia later this week, according to the latest data. (National Hurricane Center)

VIRGINIA — A strengthening tropical storm that forecasters believe could turn into a hurricane could bring some rain and possible coastal flooding to parts of Virginia later this week, according to the latest data.

Tropical Storm Helene is expected to intensify to near hurricane strength by early Wednesday and could be a major hurricane as it approaches the northern U.S. Gulf Coast on Thursday, the National Hurricane Center said Tuesday. Landfall is most likely to occur somewhere in northern Florida along the Gulf Coast.

The current track of the storm shows it slowly turning to the northwest as it moves over Georgia and is forecast to dump heavy rains across the Southeast, the southern Appalachians and the Tennessee Valley later this week.

Find out what's happening in Arlingtonfor free with the latest updates from Patch.

If the storm’s path shifts slightly, its remnants could impact the Washington, D.C., area late Friday into Saturday morning, forecasters said.

"If the track would go a little further west, we wouldn't see too much in the way of impacts here in the Washington area," FOX 5 meteorologist Tucker Barnes said. "But some of the models try to bring us some rain here by Friday and Saturday. So we've got some question marks for the end of the week."

Find out what's happening in Arlingtonfor free with the latest updates from Patch.

Regardless, the area is in for a wet, soggy work week, according to forecasts.

"A slow-moving weather system and persistent onshore flow continue to hinder our ability to see sunshine for the next several days," the Capital Weather Gang said in its Tuesday forecast. "Potential remnants from upcoming Hurricane Helene could then bring further cloud cover and more rain chances late this week."

The region was under a hazardous weather outlook Tuesday as rain and showers moved through the area, according to the National Weather Service. Affected areas included the Maryland portion of the Chesapeake Bay, the Tidal Potomac River and the I-95 corridor through central Maryland, northern Virginia and the District of Columbia.

A coastal flood warning was also in effect until 4 a.m. Wednesday for the shorelines in the District of Columbia, Arlington County and the city of Alexandria.

According to NWS forecasters, the unprotected area on the Southwest Waterfront at the DC Seafood Market is expected to flood. Water is expected to approach parts of the Hains Point Loop Road and buildings near King and Union streets.

Moderate coastal flooding will remain possible at times through the end of the week, especially Friday, forecasters said.

"Friday is our trickiest forecast day as the weather models diverge on how much remnant moisture from upcoming Hurricane Helene spills into our area," the Capital Weather Gang said. "Rain is possible, especially in southern and western areas toward the afternoon."

Here's the detailed NWS forecast for Northern Virginia through Saturday:

Tuesday Night: Showers likely, mainly after 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 64. East wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Patchy fog before noon. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 73. Southeast wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 68. South wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Thursday: A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 5pm. Cloudy, with a high near 79. South wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Friday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Friday Night: Showers likely, mainly before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Saturday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

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