Weather

4th of July Weather in Virginia: Rain Chances in Early Forecast

Thunderstorm chances Sunday and on the 4th of July, but timing will be key to determine the impact on Northern Virginia events.

The simple timing of the 4th of July makes it an easy target for rain and storms to ruin the holiday fun.

This year is no different.

Current forecasts suggest we'll see rain and possibly thunderstorms Monday, including the chance for afternoon and evening showers to rain out some of our fireworks fun.

Find out what's happening in Fredericksburgfor free with the latest updates from Patch.

Rain showers are expected in the morning, according to The Weather Channel, evolving into a more steady rain in the afternoon. There's the potential for heavy rainfall Monday night.

Slightly less pessimistic, the National Weather Service puts the chance for showers and thunderstorms at 40 percent during the day and 50 percent Monday night.

Find out what's happening in Fredericksburgfor free with the latest updates from Patch.

"Before anyone panics or starts canceling July 4 festivities, consider this forecast applies to a period five days into future and is uncertain," cautions the Capital Weather Gang. "Models don’t agree on the details of the timing and track of the weather system that could potentially ignite storms."

Here's the current weekend forecast from the National Weather Service:

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.

Independence Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

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