Thanksgiving Travel Expected To Surpass Records: What To Know In VA

Highways and airports in Virginia are expected to be congested with projections for record travel over Thanksgiving weekend, the busiest travel holiday of the year.

AAA said Monday that about 80 million people will travel 50 miles or more from their homes over the Thanksgiving travel period. This year, AAA expanded the Nov. 26 to Dec. 2 travel period by an additional two days to better capture the flow of holiday travelers. Thanksgiving is on Thursday, Nov. 28.

Weather could have a minimal impact on travel in and around the Baltimore-Washington area on Wednesday. Expect a slight chance of showers before 10 a.m. followed by mostly sunny skies and a high near 71 degrees, according to the National Weather Service's forecast.

Thanksgiving will see cooler temperatures under partly sunny skies with a high near 45, according to NWS. Although the weather will be colder through the remainder of the week, rain is expected to hold off until Sunday night, which will see a 50 percent chance of precipitation.

This year, 1.7 million more people are expected to travel for Thanksgiving than in 2023. AAA expects travel to be up across the board, from driving to flying to cruising.

About 72 million people plan to drive. Gas prices are lower this Thanksgiving season compared to 2023, when the national average for regular gas was $3.26 a gallon. As of Nov. 26, Virginia motorists were paying an average of $2.889 for a gallon of regular gas, according to AAA.

Falling oil prices could push the national average below $3 a gallon for the first time since 2021, and that could happen before the travel period starts, AAA said.

When To Avoid In Baltimore-Washington Area

The auto club’s transportation data partner, INRIX, suggests staying away from certain metropolitan areas when traffic is the heaviest. Anticipated heavy congestion times are calculated on major routes from Birmingham, Alabama, to Atlanta; Indianapolis to Chicago; Fort Collins, Colorado, to Denver; Grand Rapids, Michigan to Detroit; Galveston, Texas, to Houston; Los Angeles to Bakersfield, California; Eau Claire, Wisconsin, to Minneapolis; New York to the Hamptons; the Poconos to Philadelphia; Portland, Oregon, to Eugene, Oregon; Palm Springs, California, to San Diego; San Francisco to Sacramento, California; Seattle to Ellensburg, Washington; Fort Myers, Florida, to Tampa; and Washington, D.C., to Annapolis, Maryland.

According to the INRIX analysis, Virginia travelers should avoidmajor commuter routes like I-95, the Capital Beltway (I-495), and I-270. Traffic is expected to be heaviest between 11 a.m. and 8 p.m. on Wednesday, so driving before 11 a.m. is the recommended best time to travel.

The best and worst times to travel over the holiday period are (all times local):

• Wednesday, Nov. 27: 1-5 p.m., worst travel time; before 10 a.m., best travel time
• Thursday, Thanksgiving Day, Nov. 28: Minimal traffic impact expected
• Friday, Nov 29: 7-10 a.m., worst travel time; after 1 p.m. best travel time
• Saturday, Nov. 30: 4-8 p.m., worst travel time; before 1 p.m., best travel time
• Sunday, Dec. 1: noon-6 p.m., worst travel time; before 1 p.m., best travel time
• Monday, Dec. 2: 9 a.m.-6 p.m., worst travel time; before 8 a.m. after 7 p.m., best travel time

Flying Out Of Reagan National Or Dulles International Airports?

Air travel is expected to set records this year with about 5.84 million people flying domestically for the holiday, an increase of percent compared to last year and 11 percent over 2019.

People who are flying out of or expecting guests to fly into Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport or Dulles International Airport should prepare for long lines, as the days around Thanksgiving are among the airports' busiest. A separate report, Hopper’s 2024 Thanksgiving Outlook & Busiest Airports, said the busiest day for air travel will be Sunday, Dec. 1 while the least busy day will be Thanksgiving Day, Black Friday on Nov. 29, and Tuesday, Dec. 3.

It’s a good idea to check a flight-tracking service such as FlightAware to see if flights are running on time before leaving for the airport.

The forecast also noted a 23 percent increase in international flight bookings, compared to last year, in part because the cost to fly internationally is down 5 percent. On domestic flights, travelers are paying about 3 percent more.

Cruises Are Also Up

Nearly 2.3 million people are expected to travel by other modes of transportation, including buses, cruises, and trains. This category is seeing an increase of almost 9 percent compared to last year and an 18 percent jump over 2019, in large part due to the popularity of cruising.

The demand for cruises has been red-hot post-pandemic, AAA said. Domestic and international cruise bookings are up 20 percent compared to last Thanksgiving.