Storms Could Disrupt July 4 Plans Across Twin Cities As Heat And Humidity Build

TWIN CITIES, MN — Hot, sticky weather will grip the Twin Cities this Fourth of July, and forecasters warn that scattered storms could disrupt outdoor celebrations across the metro.

According to the National Weather Service, temperatures will soar to around 88–90 degrees on Friday, with a 70 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms developing in the afternoon and evening.

The day will start partly sunny and humid, with a steady south breeze adding to the sticky air.

July 4 Forecast:

• High: 90 degrees
• Sky: Partly sunny
• Rain/Storm Chance: 70 percent, mainly after 1 p.m.
• Low: Around 72 degrees Friday night

Minnesota is among a broad swath of states in the Midwest facing highs well into the upper 80s and low 90s on the holiday.

Holiday week trends:

• Monday–Thursday: Gradual warm-up with mostly sunny skies and minimal rain chances
• Friday (July 4): Hot and stormy; scattered thunderstorms expected by afternoon
• Weekend Outlook: Rain and storm chances linger into Saturday, then taper off by Sunday

Looking ahead, a hotter-than-normal stretch is likely to follow the Fourth. The latest 8–14 day outlook from NOAA shows much of Minnesota leaning warmer than average into mid-July, continuing a pattern of summer heat that’s already taken hold.

Here's the full NWS forecast from the Minneapolis-St. Paul Airport:

Today: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. West wind 5 to 15 mph.

Tonight: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 63. West northwest wind 5 to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 83. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 64. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Sunny, with a high near 85. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 67. West southwest wind around 5 mph becoming south after midnight.

Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. South southeast wind around 10 mph.

Independence Day: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88. South wind 10 to 15 mph.

Friday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. South wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. South southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Saturday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. North wind 5 to 10 mph.